World Stock Indices: The Global Curve

There was a time when multinational corporations were relatively few, however the rise of global trade at all levels of business has changed this. Today, both large and small companies have offices, manufacturing operations, and trade associations or sell products around the world. As a result, stock markets around the world reflect the global nature of the companies listed on their exchanges, which in turn reflects the increasing integration between each trading market. Fluctuations on one exchange often have a ripple effect on other exchanges due to a series of economic relationships between the markets. Delineating all the factors that go into these relationships is another discussion, but suffice it to say that, in the most general sense, the impact on the market is based on speculation.

The increasing influence that price changes in one exchange have over others is why it is more important than ever to monitor global market changes. A few hours or even minutes of premonition of how a market might open could make the difference between a profit or a loss. When one market closes, another opens, first New York, which precedes Asian markets like Tokyo, Shanghai, Hong Kong, and Mumbai, which in turn precedes European markets, including Germany, France, and Britain, and then back again. NY. The reflected trends of these markets mirroring each other can be easily seen by comparing the major indices within each market. You can plot the performance of, say, the Dow Jones Industrial Average against the Nikkei and Hang Seng in Asia and then, say, the DAX, CAC, and FTSI in Europe. You will notice how the trends follow one another. In terms of indices, it really does look like a global economy.

World stock indices are the bell weather of the markets they represent, but there are some considerations to keep in mind when analyzing the impacts one trade has on another using the indices.

First, indices are based on groupings and averages of stock prices within a market. They are not actually traded instruments and therefore there is no volume for the indices, so demand is not factored into the index price. Without a momentum indicator within the market, a change in the market could represent only a fraction of the market or, conversely, a major move, the point is that from the price of the index there is no way to tell what volumes are trading , simply because there is no volume.

Second, the indices should not necessarily be compared on an equal scale, for example, there are significant differences between the US and Philippine economies that make equal comparisons between the Dow Jones or S&P 500 and the Manilla Composite be somewhat biased.

Third, you should definitely research the composition and company profile of the corporations within each index you compare. Some indices are made up of companies based on size or sector that would not compare well to other indices based on different criteria.

The fourth consideration should be to investigate the base of the index, such as when it was created and the base value when it was started, when indices are first introduced, they are set to a base or initial value and then it is considered that the base value changes reflect changes. in the particular sector or market that the index is intended to indicate. Thus, an index with a value in the thousands may or may not have a relationship to a recently created index in the hundreds; in other words, the actual point value is much less important than the percentage change of the index.

The last point we will discuss here is the monetary base of the index. While indices are not technically “currency valued”, index totals are based on stock prices within a particular market and therefore actual value is affected by the currency underlying the indices. values. For example, as of this writing, the NIKKEI index is at 15,583.42, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is at 13,087.13, but the Nikkei reflects the prices of securities traded in Japanese yen, currently trading at 0.009. against the US dollar. So actually, if the scale evens out, the Nikkei would be at 140.42. This presents a view of the scale difference between the two indices and further demonstrates why it is much more important to compare performance when comparing indices if you want a more accurate picture.

I previously mentioned the issue with momentum where the lack of volume display prevents you from measuring the change of an index relative to the trading level within that market that day. However, there are a few other tools you can use to make up for this. One is to use market statistics and compare trade volumes across the market. If you want to run momentum-based indicators on the closest representation of the index, you can use ETFs that have volume. ETF volume does not represent the accumulated volume of the securities of an index, rather ETF volume represents the volume of the ETF traded; however, using the ETF will allow you to run momentum-based indicators, such as MACD, on the price trends of one version of an index. However, in the near future you will be able to gain a much better understanding of the momentum behind some indicators, as we are planning to add the cumulative volume of some indices to a representative portfolio of securities to allow people to take accurate and true technical actions based on momentum. index analysis on our site for free.

It is important to follow the international indices of the markets that close before your market opens, which often indicate future trading in the following markets. However, it’s also critical to place your analysis within the perspective of the framework you’re working in, to understand the data base you’re using in order to compare indices correctly.

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