How to find elusive soccer draws

The Soccer Toss Game – Hard to find, isn’t it? Eight of these are key to winning the UK triple chance football pool, but you may only want to find two or three for a specialist fixed odds bet, or a variety of triples, perhaps in an Australian, German, Spanish or Italian. Typically over a league weekend in the UK football season and 49 matches on the coupon there will be an average of 9 goal football ties, and of these many will have been predictable using a good scoring system. forecast. No-score soccer draws average about 4-5 per week.

How do we find them?

Well, in the British league season, most teams play close to ‘form’, but Cup matches are more of a lottery when the ‘giant killing’ happens quite often, and best avoided if you really you want to win the football pools. So, to begin with, we only bet when the odds are optimal, and that means league play. In fact, we do not bet when “form” is likely to be compromised, for example on Boxing Day.

With a good soccer draw forecasting system, you will be able to keep track of the form and eliminate those games where there are sure wins at home. Typically there could be 22 home wins, many of which will have been easy to predict. As for away wins, they are more difficult to predict and there will be, on average, 13-14 away wins on the coupon each week.

So let’s say we can predict 90% of home wins, which is about 19 games, and maybe 50% of road wins, is another 7 games. So from the coupon as a whole, with a reliable forecasting system, we can expect to predict 26 matches (home and away). That leaves 23 matches, of which we have to find 8 soccer ties.

Now with a good plan or permanent, combining maybe 17 or 18 picks, some plans even give 24 match coverage, then you can see the odds of getting 8 football draws in one line go up considerably. Sure, using a plan means sacrificing perfection for greater coverage (after all, there are 451 million ways to select 8 49-game soccer draws). You probably won’t hit the jackpot, but you will have more frequent wins of lower value and you should be able to move on to take profit.

So, you can see that an efficient soccer draw prediction system is essential.

What are the key aspects of a good soccer draw forecasting system?

Well, in addition to knowing when to bet and when to avoid betting and throwing away your money, you have to be able to analyze the form and make soccer draw predictions. When it comes to form, how far should you go? How will a team that was promoted from the Championship to the Premier League (and vice versa) fare?

Use statistics selectively

My opinion is that the first few weeks of the season are when we don’t get a reliable picture of the form in a league division, and it takes a few weeks for the pattern to emerge. Some pundits will look at long-term patterns and suggest that some teams are home-win experts, some have good (or bad) road records. That can be useful in the final analysis, but I don’t take those things into account when I search for a soccer game. So how far back should we look? Certainly not last season – I work with less than half a dozen games on record (league games only).

rate the teams

Then you need to have a consistent way of rating a team’s performance, and that needs to take into account the strength of the opposition. This leaves you with a list of equipment and performance ratings.

Now you need to look at the upcoming matches and compare the ratings of the teams. Adjust home field advantage and make any other adjustments you feel are appropriate (new player or manager, key player injured?). Then arrange the list in order based on the likely outcome of the match. At one end of the list will be the most likely home wins. At the other extreme will be the most likely away wins. In the middle will be the juice, where we find the elusive soccer draw block.

find the juice

Then, you take the middle part of the matches and, based on your budget, decide how many to cover with your perm or plan. It is reasonable to expect to win in those weeks with 11-14 football ties in the results.

If we can find 60% of the draws when there are 13 or 14 in the results, then we will have 8 – 9 draws. That’s when a good betting plan comes into play, to maximize your chances of landing your single line football draws.

It’s important to see that this is a percentage approach, and all you’re looking to do is have the odds on your side and find most of those elusive football draws. A few wins per season should bring profit, and as always, the devil is in the details!

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